自然科学版 英文版
自然科学版 英文版
自然科学版 英文版

您目前所在的位置:首页 - 期刊简介 - 详细页面

中南大学学报(英文版)

Journal of Central South University

Vol. 15    No. 2    April 2008

[PDF Download]    

    

Chaotic time series prediction for surrounding rock’s deformation of deep mine lanes in soft rock
LI Xi-bing(李夕兵)1, WANG Qi-sheng(王其胜)1, 2, YAO Jin-rui(姚金蕊)3, ZHAO Guo-yan(赵国彦)1

1. School of Resources and Safety Engineering, Central South University, Changsha 410083, China;2. School of Energy Sources Engineering, Henan Polytechnic University, Jiaozuo 454150, China;3. Guizhou Kaiyang Phosphor Mine Group Co., Guiyang 532000, China

Abstract:Based on the measured displacements, the change laws of the effect of distance in phase space on the deformation of mine lane were analyzed and the chaotic time series model to predict the surrounding rocks deformation of deep mine lane in soft rock by nonlinear theory and methods was established. The chaotic attractor dimension(D) and the largest Lyapunov index(Emax) were put forward to determine whether the deformation process of mine lane is chaotic and the degree of chaos. The analysis of examples indicates that when D>2 and Emax>0, the surrounding rock’s deformation of deep mine lane in soft rock is the chaotic process and the laws of the deformation can still be well demonstrated by the method of the reconstructive state space. Comparing with the prediction of linear time series and grey prediction, the chaotic time series prediction has higher accuracy and the prediction results can provide theoretical basis for reasonable support of mine lane in soft rock. The time of the second support in Maluping Mine of Guizhou, China, is determined to arrange at about 40 d after the initial support according to the prediction results.

 

Key words: deformation; prediction; mine lane in soft rock; surrounding rock; chaos; time series

中南大学学报(自然科学版)
  ISSN 1672-7207
CN 43-1426/N
ZDXZAC
中南大学学报(英文版)
  ISSN 2095-2899
CN 43-1516/TB
JCSTFT
版权所有:《中南大学学报(自然科学版、英文版)》编辑部
地 址:湖南省长沙市中南大学 邮编: 410083
电 话: 0731-88879765 传真: 0731-88877727
电子邮箱:zngdxb@csu.edu.cn 湘ICP备09001153号